● Live Data WATCH Unstable Intelligence v0.9

USDC Risk Assessment

Stablecoin — Fragility Index v0.9 · 15-day data window

📅 Generated: 2026-07-01 01:14 UTC 🔁 Updates every 15 min 📊 15-day data window

40.7

Fragility Score / 100

🟣 WATCH — Watch

9.0% depeg probability · 0 active alerts · score 41/100

24h Delta

+2.1

7-Day High

54.0

Depeg Risk

9.0%

Active Alerts (48h)

Curve Pool Imbalance (+13.7pt): PayPool: PYUSD=29.4%, USDC=70.6% — USDC imbalanced +20.6pp vs expected 50.0%
Defi Rates (+10.0pt): USDC borrow avg 23.6% — acute leverage demand, stress signal
Reserve Lag (+6.4pt): circle 29d stale

Risk Signal Breakdown

Signal	Contribution	Detail
Curve Pool Imbalance Risk Signal	+13.7 pt	PayPool: PYUSD=29.4%, USDC=70.6% — USDC imbalanced +20.6pp vs expected 50.0%
Defi Rates Risk Signal	+10.0 pt	USDC borrow avg 23.6% — acute leverage demand, stress signal
Reserve Lag Reserve Health	+6.4 pt	circle 29d stale
News Pressure Risk Signal	+4.3 pt	2 signal(s); top: regulatory_action high from 1 source(s) (eff=1.0)
Macro Environment Macro	+4.0 pt	CRCL -17.2% 5d (Circle equity selloff, +4pt USDC)
Supply 7D Risk Signal	+1.3 pt	7d supply change -1.25%

15-Day Fragility Score History

Recent Alerts (48h)

No alerts in the last 48 hours.

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